Monday, May 29, 2023
Memo To Steve Cohen: Houston We Have A Problem
Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Knicks Suffer Heat Stroke in Miami
Well it was nice while it lasted.
The New York Knicks season came to an unceremonious end at the hands of the Miami Heat last Friday. The final score of the game was 96-92, the final score of the series was 4-2. After thumping the Cleveland Cavaliers 4-1 in the first round, the Knicks went up against an opponent that was capable of exposing their flaws. Once the Heat realized the Knicks had no outside game - about halfway through the second quarter of game one - they ostensibly shut down their inside game. In short, Miami literally dared the Knicks to beat them from the perimeter and they couldn't.
Credit Erik Spoelstra for out-coaching Tom Thibodeau; no small task. He made the necessary in-game adjustments that propelled the Heat into the Eastern Conference finals where they will meet the Boston Celtics for the second consecutive year. While Boston should be favored, I wouldn't be shocked to see Miami win. The most dangerous thing in professional sports is a good team that is well coached, and the Heat are well coached. The Celtics will have their hands full, that's for sure.
But getting back to the Knicks, despite the outcome against Miami, this was their most successful season since 2013. Most of the so-called experts had them winning 38 games. That they went 47-35 and finished in fifth place in the East is a tribute not only to Thibodeau but to Team President Leon Rose and GM Scott Perry. It was their decision not to give in to the Utah Jazz's demands for Donavan Mitchell that proved to be the difference. Had that trade gone through, the depth on the team, which was its strength all season long, would've been gone. And instead of advancing to the second round, like they did, they might very well have been eliminated in the first.
But while the Knicks depth was its secret sauce this season, its Kryptonite was its lack of an elite scorer. Jalen Brunson did everything humanly possible to will this team to victory, but in the end it was the bricks put up by Julius Randle and RJ Barrett that sealed their fate. The NBA is not the NHL. You can't simply gut your way to a championship. There is no E for effort on the basketball court. You either have the talent or you go home. Period!
First on Rose and Perry's To-Do list this offseason is to find the player or players that can turn this blue-collar, blood, sweat and tears team into a genuine playoff contender. That won't be easy to do. After watching Randle and Barrett shit the bed in Miami, it will be difficult to move either in a trade.
One player that would help is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Minnesota Timberwolves. The 6-11 center averaged 20.8 points per game in just 29 games this season. Over 511 career games, he's averaged 23 points, 11.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. While no Nikola Jokic, he would give the Knicks something they haven't had since the days of Patrick Ewing: a center who can score that opponents would have to respect. Randle, Mitchell Robinson and perhaps one of the eight first round draft picks the Knicks are holding might be enough to swing it.
But if the Knicks are really interested in a player that would transform them into the prohibitive favorites in the Eastern conference, they should set their sites southward along Jersey Turnpike. With the Sixers collapse in game seven against the Boston Celtics and the subsequent firing of Doc Rivers, there are a lot of unanswered questions in Philly. For instance, who will replace Rivers? Will James Harden ask for a trade? And if Harden leaves, will Joel Embiid want to be part of what could be a lengthy rebuild?
If the answer to that last question is no, then Rose and Perry need to move heaven and earth to make sure the reigning MVP is wearing orange and blue next season. In 66 games this season, Embiid averaged 33.1 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game. If acquired, he would instantly become the best player on the Knicks and the best center in the history of the franchise, including Willis Reed. To land him, Rose and Perry might have to give up Randle, Robinson and all eight of those number one picks.
Is there an inherent risk giving up all that trade capital for a player who has never played a full season in his professional career? Undoubtedly. But think about the starting lineup the Knicks would have. Embiid at center, Barrett and Obi Toppin at forward and Brunson and Josh Hart in the back court. And with Isaiah Hartenstein, Quentin Grimes, Deuce McBride and Immanuel Quickley coming off the bench, the Knicks would still have a formidable roster.
All this, of course, is mere speculation. What isn't up for debate, however, is just how flawed the Knicks lineup is. Put bluntly, there's no way this team, as presently constructed, can return next season. Changes must be made. The draft capital is there; it's simply a question of finding the right trade partner.
Monday, May 8, 2023
Who Will Drury Hire to Replace Gallant?
Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Now What?
Monday, May 1, 2023
Joe Schoen Shines
Going into the 2022 NFL Draft, Joe Schoen had something every first-year GM dreams about: two first round picks in the top 10. His selections - OLB Kayvon Thibodeaux (5) and OT Evan Neal (7) - were widely lauded as being blue chip. And while many were skeptical of Schoen's later picks, both WR Wan'Dale Robinson (43) and TE Daniel Bellinger (112) not only made the club but contributed to a team that made its first postseason appearance in six years.
Could Schoen duplicate his success from last year? Based on the reviews, he appears to have hit it out of the park. CB Deonte Banks (24), C John Michael Schmitz (57), WR Jalin Hyatt (73) and RB Eric Gray (172) not only addressed needs but were valued higher than where they were taken. The New York Post's Ryan Dunleavy evaluated all 32 teams drafts and gave the Giants an A. Only the Philadelphia Eagles, Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers had better drafts in his opinion.
He wasn't the only one who was impressed. Pro Football Focus gave the Giants an A plus; The Sporting News gave them an A; Mel Kiper, Jr of ESPN and Chad Reuter of NFL.com each gave them an A minus; while Ed Valentine of SB Nation gave them an A.
Of course nothing is guaranteed. History is replete with examples of draft picks that never panned out. But if last year is any indication, Schoen appears to know what he's doing. If anything, he put on a clinic on how to use his draft capital. In the first round after the top two receivers he had targeted were off the board, he traded up from 25 to 24 to nab Banks. He then did the same thing in the third round, when he traded up from 89 to 73 to land Hyatt.
Compare and contrast what Schoen did with what Jets GM Joe Douglas did when the Patriots and Steelers swapped picks. The Steelers took the offensive lineman Douglas had targeted and the result was the Jets wound up reaching for a player most thought they could've gotten in the second round. Leave it to Bill Belichick to stick it to the Jets.
When you combine his draft picks with the free agent signings of Darren Waller and Bobby Okereke, Schoen has had himself one helluva offseason so far. Giants fans, who've been patient with this new regime, had their patience rewarded last season. Not since the good old days of George Young and Ernie Accorsi has this franchise been this well run.
Rangers Have the Opportunity of a Lifetime
The 2023 NHL postseason has certainly seen more than its fair share of surprises. As of last night, 43 playoff games have been played and the road team has won 27 of them. That comes out to a road winning percentage of 62.8. How unusual is that? Through the first round of last year's playoffs, the road team had won only 22 of a possible 51 games for a winning percentage of 43.1. Home cookin' it seems ain't all it's cracked up to be this postseason.
And that bodes well for a Rangers team that in a best of seven series against the New Jersey Devils, won its first two games on the road, then dropped the next two at home. In any other year, facing a game seven on the road, the Rangers would likely be polishing up their golf clubs, especially given that in ten road games last year, the Blueshirts won only twice. Though to be fair, one of those wins did come in Raleigh against the Hurricanes, so I guess anything is possible.
The Bottom line is that this will not be your typical road game for the men in blue. Not only do they have a chance against the Devils, but based on what happened last night, they should be the favorites to win. That's because last night, both the Presidents' trophy winner Boston Bruins and the Stanley Cup champion Colorado Avalanche lost their respective game sevens in their buildings.
Presidents' trophy winners shitting the bed in the first round are not that rare an occurrence. It's happened six times in the cap era. The Bruins are just the latest example of why it's so hard to be a dominant team over an 82-game regular season AND still have enough left in the tank for a grueling playoff run. Boston looked gassed last night against a Florida Panthers team that on paper had no business being on the same ice with them. Oh, well.
But getting back to the Rangers. While the hockey gods may be favoring the road teams this postseason, by no means are they a lock to advance. That's because the Devils are one of the best teams in the NHL. Like I said before the start of the playoffs, this was the worst possible opponent the Rangers could've drawn in the first round. Since game two, New Jersey has been the better and quicker team in the series. And even though the Rangers finally managed to solve Akira Schmid in game six, it was only due to the sheer brilliance of their own goalie Igor Shesterkin that they managed to get to a seventh game. With a GAA of 1.79 and a SV% of .939, he has been, by far, the best player on either team.
But while beating this Devils team will not be an easy task, the Rangers must find a way to do so. Here's why. Both the Bruins and the Tampa Bay Lightning are gone. The Carolina Hurricanes look more like a MASH unit than a hockey team. The Toronto Maple Leafs are literally the only thing standing between the winner of this series and a trip to the Cup finals. An opportunity like this might not come around again for a very long time.
But if the Rangers need another incentive to win, it's this: The Devils are on the verge of becoming the team to beat in the Eastern Conference for the foreseeable future. Think about it. Both the Bruins and the Lightning are past their primes; the Canes, even when they're healthy, are not a legit contender; the Leafs have more skeletons in their closet than a haunted mansion on Halloween; the Islanders will never amount to anything so long as Lou Lamoriello is running the show; and the Rangers window to win is maybe two to three more years at best. To quote Elvis Presley, "It's now or never."
Chris Drury has assembled a team that is ready to win this year, not next year or the year after that. He has put all his chips on the table. A failure in the first round against the Devils will be a bitter pill to swallow for the entire organization. That is why, come hook or crook, the Rangers must find a way to not let that happen.
So how do they avoid playoff Armageddon? For starters, they must stop trying to skate with New Jersey. The Rangers may be the deeper team, but they are not the more athletic one. Trying to match speed with them is tantamount to a suicide mission. What the Rangers need to do is control the neutral zone like they did in games one and two.
That won't be easy. The Devils are not the same team they were in the first two games. To use a Star Trek vernacular, they've gone from sub-light to warp eight. Letting them off the ropes in game three might be the single-worst playoff mistake the Rangers have ever made.
Another thing they have to is dump the puck into the offensive zone and get in on the forecheck. Both the Zibanejad and Tarasenko goals in the second period of game six came as a result of the Rangers pinning the Devils in their own zone. As skilled as New Jersey is, they are not very physical. The one advantage the Rangers have is their size; they must use it or lose it.
Shesterkin will give them every chance to win tonight, but he cannot single-handedly drag them across the finish line. The stars have to come through. There is no tomorrow if they don't.
I predicted the Rangers in seven and I'm sticking with it. So far, I've been wrong twice: the Bruins and the Avalanche. Let's hope it stays that way.