Almost Home

The New York Knicks are in the finals!

The last time that happened I still had black hair, my wife and I were on an Alaskan cruise to celebrate our fifth wedding anniversary, and Bill Clinton was in the White House. That was 27 years ago. To put that in perspective, Johnny Carson was on the air for 30.

They say time flies when you're having fun. Fun would be the last word fans of this franchise would use to describe the hell they've gone through. Between 2001 and 2020, New York made the playoffs five times, advancing to the second round once. Over that stretch, a litany of GMs from Isaiah Thomas to Phil Jackson have come and gone. 

But it wasn't until James Dolan hired Leon Rose in 2020 that things began to turn around. Rose immediately went to work rebuilding an organization that had become the laughingstock of the league. His first decision was to hire Tom Thibodeau as head coach that summer. In Thibs first season, the Knicks made the playoffs, losing in five to the Atlanta Hawks. Though it was a bitter defeat, a foundation had been laid.

Over the next few years, Rose made several significant moves. In the summer of 2022, he cleared enough cap space to sign Jalen Brunson to a four-year, $104 million contract; a move that was widely criticized at the time as an overpay. Then at the '23 trade deadline, he acquired Josh Hart from the Portland Trail Blazers for Cam Reddish. Over the summer, he signed Donte DiVencenzo.

But his boldest moves were yet to come. In December of '23, Rose traded RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley and a second round pick to the Toronto Raptors for OG Anunoby and Precious Achiuwa. Then in the summer of '24. he traded five first-round picks to the Brooklyn Nets for Mikal Bridges. Like the Brunson signing, this too was considered an overpay. But the final piece of the puzzle came right before the start of the 2024-25 season. In a stunner, he traded Julius Randle and DiVencenzo to the Minnesota Timberwolves for Karl-Anthony Towns. Rose had coveted the 7-0 center for years and now, at last, he had his man.

The Knicks would have their best postseason in a quarter century, beating the reigning champion Boston Celtics in six to advance the Eastern Conference finals for the first time since 2000. But the manner in which they lost to the Indiana Pacers - blowing a late fourth quarter double-digit lead - did not sit well with Rose. He fired Thiboadeau and replaced him with Mike Brown.

Throughout the 2025-26 season, the Knicks displayed signs of a true contender. They won the NBA Cup in December, routed elite teams like the Denver Nuggets by 39 and the San Antonio Spurs by 25; the latter one of only three defeats the Spurs would suffer from February 1 through the end of the regular season. 

But there were also some bumps in the road. They barely beat a tanking Nets team and needed to come from behind to beat a Golden State Warriors team that was missing most of its starters. This dichotomy between greatness and underachievement was frustrating to watch, primarily because you never knew which Knicks team was going to show up. 

Going into the postseason, I wrote "the Knicks are capable of going all the way to the finals; they're also capable of being ousted in the first round." And after a game three loss that put the Hawks up 2-1, it was beginning to look like the latter was a very real possibility. The "Fire Mike Brown" contingent was in full force.

It was at that point that the Knicks had a come to Jesus moment. They went on a tear, the likes of which have rarely been seen by any New York area team. They won the next three against the Hawks, blowing them out by 51 points in game six. They then swept the Philadelphia 76ers and Cleveland Cavaliers. Both closeout games were ostensibly over by halftime.

The numbers are staggering. Of the Knicks twelve wins, eleven have been by double digits and five have been by 25 or more points; they've held their opponents to under 100 points seven times; and their point differential of +271 is the highest through three rounds in NBA history. Their defensive rating of 104.4 leads all postseason teams.

Leon Rose has done a masterful job assembling this roster, and Mike Brown has done an equally masterful job coaching it. This is not meant as a knock on Thibs, but no way in hell this team gets this far with him as coach. So dominant have they been that even some of their harshest critics have been forced to grudgingly admit that they are legit; though they still maintain that they had an easy path to the finals. Oh, well, you can't fix stupid, but you can sure as shit block it. 

Which is what I've been mostly doing. Nobody is going to rain on this parade. I've waited 27 years for this moment and I'll be damned if I'm going to let the haters take away my joy. I haven't felt this way about a team I root for since the '86 Giants went through the NFL like shit through a goose.

I believe in these players, and I believe they have what it takes to go all the way, regardless of which team they face in the finals. As for who that might be, I'm done projecting. I wanted the Raptors in the first round; I got the Hawks. I wanted the Celtics in the second round; I got the Sixers. I wanted the Pistons in the conference finals; I got the Cavs. At this point, I could care less who they play.

The New York Knicks are in the finals! 

They are four wins away from their first NBA championship since 1973. 

That was 53 years ago. 

Knicks Are the Rodney Dangerfield of the NBA

We were told the East would go through Detroit. 

We were told once Jayson Tatum returned the Celtics were the team to beat.

We were told that the Hawks would beat the Knicks.

We were told that the Sixers, after they successfully came back against the Celtics, would come out of the Eastern Conference.

You know what all those teams have in common? They're all playing the golf, that's what. Meanwhile the team nobody took seriously is one win away from its first trip to the finals since 1999.

It's time to face facts. The New York Knicks have become a juggernaut. They are 11-2 this postseason. Their point differential in those 11 wins is a plus 236; in the two losses, it's a minus two.

Since January 20, the Knicks have the third best record in the NBA (39-13), the number one net rating (12.5), the number one offensive rating (120.9) and the number one defensive rating (108.4).

In 13 playoff games, they've won by 25 points or more four times; held opponents to under 100 points six times; and allowed more than 110 points just once: the closeout game against the Sixers. 

And yet, despite that, they get all the respect of Rodney Dangerfield. Even now, the same geniuses who dismissed them during the regular season are now bending themselves into a pretzel trying to discount what they are doing in the postseason. You should hear some of them.

"They haven't beaten anyone in the playoffs."

"They've had the cheapest run to the finals in NBA history."

"Analytically we've won two out of three on the expected score."

That last gem came from Kenny Atkinson, who apparently doesn't know his team is trailing 3-0 in the series. From what we've seen on the court, his players are just as clueless.

Meanwhile in the Western Conference - you know, the supposedly superior one - the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs have beaten the likes of the Phoenix Suns (4-0), the L.A. Lakers (4-0), the Portland Trailblazers (4-1) and Minnesota Timberwolves (4-2). None, except for maybe the T-Wolves, were considered legitimate contenders going into the season. Yet to hear it from the so-called "experts," either of those teams would wipe the floor with whomever comes out of the East. I swear if stupidity were an Olympic event, these bozos would win the gold. You can't make this shit up, even if you tried.

First of all, if the Knicks were to win the championship, they wouldn't be the first team to have a "cheap" run. In 2023, the Nuggets beat an 8th, 4th, 7th and 8th seed; in 2024, the Celtics beat an 8th, 4th, 6th and 5th seed; and in 2025, the Thunder beat an 8th, 4th, 6th and 4th seed. Not one of those teams had a 10-game win streak during their march to a title, or for that matter the highest margin of victory or highest point differential like the Knicks currently do.

Second of all, why is that even relevant? Where is it written that success in the postseason has to be qualified? History is replete with examples of lady luck shining on teams. You think Knicks fans care one iota that their team didn't have to face the Celtics or Pistons to get to the finals? Not in the least. You play the hand your dealt. Anything else is sour grapes.

If anything, I've been impressed with this team's discipline and demeanor. Not since the 1998 and 99 Yankees have we seen a New York area team dominate like these Knicks. They haven't once pounded their chests or counted their chickens before they're hatched. Even now, on the eve of what could be their greatest accomplishment in more than a quarter century, they are laser focused on the task ahead.

In 1994, the Rangers finally broke their 54 year drought and won the Stanley Cup. Who's to say this isn't the year the Knicks finally break their 53 year drought and win the championship?

Go, New York, Go, New York, Go!

Hart and Soul

Two up, two down. Fresh off a historic come-from-behind victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers in game one of the Eastern Conference finals, the New York Knicks won their ninth playoff game in a row 109-93, and are now two wins away from their first finals appearance since 1999.

The Cavs, to their credit, showed no signs of a hangover. They did everything possible to even the series. They doubled-teamed Jalen Brunson, which left Josh Hart wide open. The thinking was if they were going to lose, it would not be at the hands of the best clutch player in the league. They even dominated the glass early, out rebounding New York 12-8 in the first quarter. And for their efforts, they took a 27-24 lead into the second. 

But the Knicks were just too good and too deep for them. They took a 53-49 lead into the half; they then went on an 18-0 run in the third quarter and never looked back. After missing his first three attempts from downtown, Hart went 5 for his next 8 and wound up with a game-high 26 points. Brunson, after being held to just two points in the first half, finished the game with 19 and recorded a career-high 14 assists. Mikal Bridges contributed 19 points of his own, while Karl-Anthony Towns picked up another double-double, his eighth in 12 postseason games.

But the night belonged to Hart. After being pulled in the fourth quarter of game one, the forward / guard was determined to redeem himself. Time and again his Villanova buddy saw him unguarded outside the key and got the ball to him. And Hart made the Cavs pay dearly for their disrespect.

Throughout this season, Mike Brown has had to walk a fine line between appreciating the intangibles Hart brings to the table while also acknowledging the limitations to his game. It was a needle Tom Thibodeau did not have the stomach to thread. As difficult as it was to bench him in game one, Brown knew he could count on him to bounce back in game two.

That's another difference between both coaches: Brown isn't afraid to pull his starters when they're not performing well. He has enough faith in his bench to know someone will come through. It could be Shamet - like it was in game one - or Deuce McBride or Jordan Clarkson or Jose Alvarado. There are no passengers on Brown's train. If you're wearing a Knicks jersey, you're expected to contribute when your number gets called. 

The results speak for themselves. The compete level of this team is off the charts. Yes, they've won nine in a row, but it's the way they're winning that's most impressive. During this stretch, the Knicks have outscored their opponents by 212 points; the best point differential over a nine-game span of any team - regular season or postseason - in NBA history. 

For those who continue to dismiss them, I don't know what more evidence you need. I have watched the Knicks for more than 50 years. Not even the 1992 through 2000 teams under Pat Riley and Jeff Van Gundy were this dominant. At this point, it isn't a question of if they beat Cleveland, but how many games it will take. 

At the risk of invoking - and paraphrasing - the lyrics to one of my favorite songs from the '80s, if things keep going like this, Knicks fans are going to be partying like it's 1999 pretty soon. 

Miracle on 33rd Street

With just under eight minutes to go in the fourth quarter of game one of the Eastern Conference finals, the New York Knicks were trailing the Cleveland Cavaliers 93-71. They were 4-24 from three, and it looked to all the world as if they were going to lose. ESPN analytics gave them a .1 percent chance of winning; not 1 percent, .1 percent.

The rust vs. rest debate had been settled decidedly in the rust camp's favor. Indeed, yours truly tweeted the title of my next piece: "Rust Never Sleeps," a pun on the classic Neil Young album from 1979. Oh well, I thought, at least they wouldn't blow a lead like they did a year ago to the Indiana Pacers. I still felt confident that the Knicks would win the series; it was just going to be a little more difficult now.

And then something truly remarkable began to happen. The Knicks went on an 18-1 run over the next four minutes to pull within five before Kenny Atkinson finally called a timeout. They then outscored the Cavs 12-7 the rest of the fourth quarter, and 14-3 in overtime to complete one of the most improbable and unbelievable comebacks in NBA history. In all, New York outscored Cleveland 44-11 over the final 12:52, and won 115-104 to take a 1-0 lead in the series. 

In the play-by-play era - which goes back 30 years - teams trailing by 20 or more points in the fourth quarter of a playoff game were 1-594. That one win was by the L.A. Clippers, who overcame a 24 point deficit against the Memphis Grizzlies, April 29, 2012. Make that 2-594.

So how did the Knicks pull it off? Two words: Jalen Brunson. Captain Clutch scored 17 of his game-high 38 points in the fourth quarter and OT. He abused James Harden, who, true to form, had more turnovers (6) than field goals (5). Possession after possession, Brunson blew right past the 36 year old like he was standing still. Why on Earth Atkinson didn't pull him is a mystery. The Beard was utterly useless on both ends of the court down the stretch.

But then that wasn't the only brain fart the Cavs coach had. Apparently Atkinson didn't realize that he had four timeouts left, because at his post-game presser he said he wanted to save them for the last minute of what he felt would be a one-possession game. While it was a one possession game late in regulation, by not using two of his timeouts earlier - when it might've made a difference - he lost both of them. It is inconceivable that someone as experienced as Atkinson didn't know this.

But while Atkinson had arguably his worst game as a head coach, Mike Brown had one of his best. With 7:52 to go in regulation, he replaced Josh Hart, who was a minus 23 in 31 minutes, with Landry Shamet, who was a plus 25 in 17 minutes. That move gave the Knicks a lineup with five genuine scoring threats. The Cavs now had to defend five players instead of four. That meant they couldn't double team Brunson. 

It was no coincidence that right after the substitution, the whole demeanor of the game changed. The vaunted Knicks offense that we were waiting for suddenly appeared. In addition to Brunson's 17 points, Karl-Anthony Towns had two field goals, Mikal Bridges had a pair three pointers, and Shamet hit three from downtown. 

But the principal reason New York won this game was because Cleveland simply ran out of gas. As I wrote in my series preview, teams that are extended a full seven games in their first two rounds tend not to do so well in the next. Going into this postseason, their record was 1-4 in conference finals.

So now what? Well for starters, the Cavs are in deep trouble. They let a game they had well in hand slip away from them. Just ask the Knicks what that means; they never recovered from that catastrophic loss to the Pacers last year. And since it's unlikely New York will have another slow start like it did in game one, Cleveland has an almost impossible task ahead of it.

As for the men in orange and blue, they shouldn't look this gift horse in the mouth. They dodged a bullet that would've felled most teams. They need to come out from the opening tip off and remind the Cavs that they are the best team left standing in the East; that they've won a franchise-record eight games in a row; and that they have the deepest bench as well as the number one defensive rating among all teams in the postseason. 

Oh, and they also have the best clutch player in all of basketball. 

Knicks Playoff Preview (Round Three)

For the second year in a row, the New York Knicks find themselves in the Eastern Conference Finals. Their opponent, the fourth-place Cleveland Cavaliers, ousted the first-place Detroit Pistons in a thrilling seven-game series. And thanks to the seventh-place Philadelphia 76ers beating the second-place Boston Celtics in the first round, the Knicks are the first three seed or lower team to have home court advantage through the first three rounds since seeding began in 1984.

This matchup is ironic in that throughout most of the regular season, the prevailing sentiment was that the Pistons or Celtics would come out of the East. Instead, it'll be the Cavs and Knicks who will battle it out for the honor. Funny how that works. 

In the last round, I was guilty of giving the Sixers too much credit. I really thought they would give the Knicks all they could handle. About the only thing the Knicks handled were the brooms they used to sweep them out the playoffs. New York treated Philly like they were a bunch of G-Leaguers. Make no mistake about it: the Cavs are no G-League team. They are the toughest opponent the Knicks have faced so far in these playoffs. Conversely, the Knicks are the toughest opponent the Cavs have faced so far in these playoffs. 

How tough? Both teams combined to have the top 10 plus / minus Eastern Conference players in the postseason. Jalen Brunson leads the way with a plus 162, while Jarrett Allen of the Cavs brings up the rear with a plus 44. And that means we're in for one helluva conference finals. Anyone predicting a short series is sniffing something that would be illegal, even in Colorado. 

Before we get to the keys for the Knicks, a final thought on the Pistons. Watching these bullies get their comeuppance was truly gratifying. Detroit thought they could resurrect the Bad Boys of the late ‘80s and early ‘90s. Instead, they earned themselves a trip to the golf course. Bottom line: It takes more than intimidation and hard fouls to win a championship in today's NBA; it takes talent. In the end, the Pistons didn't have enough of it.

Now for the keys. 

1. A healthy OG Anunoby. It goes without saying that Anunoby must be fully recovered from the right hamstring pull he sustained in game two of the Sixers series. The Knicks will need his elite-level defense. If he is not at full strength or - worse - re-injures himself, New York will have its hands full contending with Cleveland's backcourt.

2. Win the turnover battle. The Cavs have committed the second-most turnovers this postseason, averaging 16.6 per game, with James Harden the worst offender at 4.8 per game. Meanwhile, the Knicks have committed the fifth-fewest turnovers at 13.3 per game. That trend needs to continue, and the best way for that to happen is for New York to pressure both Donovan Mitchell and Harden whenever they have the ball. Expect Mikal Bridges to guard Mitchell, while Anunoby gets Harden.

3. Contain Mobley and Allen. Unlike Joel Embiid, who was, for all intents and purposes, useless, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen can score and defend. While not as physical as Jalen Duren and Tobias Harris, they can still cause trouble for New York in the paint. The best way to deal with them is for Karl-Anthony Towns to continue being the point center. That will force Kenny Atkinson to bring one of his big men out to the perimeter which is what the Sixers were forced to do in the last round. And that will free up Mitchell Robinson to grab as many offensive rebounds as he can. Expect Mike Brown to play both centers together at times in this series. It is the one matchup New York can truly exploit.

4. Hit the open threes. The Knicks are leading all NBA teams this postseason in three-point shooting at 40.8 percent. The Cavs are 7th at 34 percent. While Cleveland's defense has improved somewhat in the playoffs, they're still nowhere near elite level, meaning New York will get plenty of open looks from beyond the arc. They need to bury as many of them as possible. 

Last year, the Knicks blew a late fourth-quarter, double-digit lead against the Pacers and never recovered. I don't expect they will repeat that same mistake. In fact, I've been impressed with the level of maturity and poise this team has exhibited throughout these playoffs. After the Sixers series, there were no wild celebrations or chest thumping. It's as if they realize what the goal is and what they will have to do to achieve it. The only other past local-area teams that have displayed that much focus were the '86 Mets and Giants and the '94 Rangers.

Something to keep in mind: prior to this postseason, only five teams had advanced to the conference finals while being extended a full seven games through the first two rounds since the NBA went to a best of seven format in all four rounds in 2003. Their record was 1-4. The Celtics won in '08, while the Mavericks ('03), Suns ('06), Raptors ('10) and Nuggets ('20) all lost. The point is playing that many games that early in the playoffs takes a lot out of a team.

To sum up: this will be a long series. Both teams have multiple ways they can beat you, both teams have very good benches, and both teams are well coached. The difference is on defense, where the Knicks have the clear advantage. It's been 27 years since this team last made the finals. That streak comes to an end here. New York in six. 

And now for the Western Conference Finals.

San Antonio over Oklahoma City in six. I know I said OKC would repeat as champions in my last preview, but that was before I saw what Victor Wembanyama did to Rudy Gobert of the Minnesota Timberwolves. Put succinctly, the NBA has never seen anyone with Wemby's skillset in well over a generation. He's the equivalent of what baseball calls a five-tool player. Imagine a player who can defend like Bill Russell, block shots like Hakeem Olajuwon, rebound like Moses Malone, pass like John Stockton and shoot like Steph Curry. The last player to dominate his sport the way Wemby does was Wayne Gretzky. That's why I'm picking the Spurs to win this series and quite possibly the title.

As with my last three previews, if the Knicks advance, I'll preview the finals; if not, whoever wins the West will win the title. 

Time Was Always On the Knicks Side

In the end, the hotly contested series I predicted never materialized. The New York Knicks swept the Philadelphia 76ers four zip, with three of the games not remotely close; game four was ostensibly over at halftime. Knicks fans who showed up at Xfinity Mobile Arena - AKA, Madison Square Garden South - were absolutely beside themselves with glee.

It's the first time the orange and blue have swept an opponent since 1999, which, not coincidentally, was the last time they went to the finals. The team that was built to beat the Boston Celtics, dispensed with the Sixers as if they were a G-League squad.

How did they pull it off? Just like they had done in the previous round against the Atlanta Hawks, New York exploited mismatches with Philadelphia, most notably the inability of Joel Embiid to guard. The man was, for all intents and purposes, a statue on defense. The Sixers also had no bench; Nick Nurse was forced to play his starters longer than he would've preferred. That meant they were gassed by the fourth quarter.

What made this series so special was that two of the wins came without OG Anunoby, arguably their most "indispensable" player, who, prior to game three, was listed as day to day with a right hamstring injury sustained in game two. What we are seeing here is truly special, something rarely seen in New York sports. The Knicks, after dropping games two and three against the Hawks, have won a franchise record seven in a row. Six of those wins have been by double digits, and four have been by 25 points or more. 

New York's defensive rating of 105.7 is second best in the league. Overall, they have a net rating - the difference between offensive and defensive rating - of 20.3. To put that in perspective, the 1970-71 Milwaukee Bucks with Kareem Abdul Jabbar had a net rating of 13.6, and that team went 12-2 in the postseason. The Knicks +194 point differential through the first ten games is the best since the 2017 Golden State Warriors at +170.

Individually, the Knicks have been just as brilliant. In these playoffs, they have nine of the top ten plus / minus players in the Eastern Conference: 

1. Jalen Brunson: +162
2. Josh Hart: +145
3. Karl-Anthony Towns: +135
4. OG Anunoby: +118
5. Miles McBride: +112
6. Mikal Bridges: +101
7. Jordan Clarkson: +77
8. Mitchell Robinson: +66 

9. Cade Cunningham (Detroit) +57
10. Jose Avarado: +50

What's impressive about Anunoby's totals is that he missed the last two games and yet he's still in 4th place.

While defense is a team effort, one player in particular deserves a special shoutout. Mikal Bridges has been nothing short of spectacular. Last year, he was the reason the Knicks knocked off the Celtics; this year, he was the reason Tyrese Maxey didn't go off. Before the start of this series, this is what one so-called expert had to say about the Sixers guard:

"There's nothing the Knicks can do to stop Tyrese Maxey; he's going to get his points."

The so-called expert who wrote that was none other than yours truly. I told you to take my predictions with a grain of salt.

In this series, Maxey averaged 18 points per game, 10 under his regular season average. I can assure you wishful thinking had nothing to do with that. Whether you still feel that giving up five first round draft picks for him was an overpay, there's no denying Bridges is an elite defender. Without him, the Knicks would never have gotten to back-to-back conference finals. You can see why Leon Rose wanted him so badly, and why there's no way in hell, regardless of what happens in the next round, that he's trading him in the offseason, especially for you know who.

But defense wasn't the only secret sauce the Knicks had going for them. Karl-Anthony Towns has been reborn in these playoffs. For most of the regular season, KAT struggled to find an identity in Mike Brown's system. He seems to finally have found it, and in the most unlikely of ways. The 7-0 footer has now become a point center. 

In the playoffs, Towns is averaging a team-high 6.6 assists per game; 5.3 more than he averaged last postseason. And he's still averaging 10 rebounds and 17.4 points per game. In short, he has become the focal point of the Knicks offense, and that has allowed Jalen Brunson to play off the ball more, thus making it harder for defenses to double team him. Both the Hawks and Sixers were frustrated in their attempts to prevent New York from scoring almost at will. 

And then there's the depth. This postseason, the Knicks bench is averaging 32.4 points per game, 5th in the NBA. Under Tom Thibodeau last postseason, it was 15th with 15.8 points per game. Now you know why Rose fired Thibs and hired Brown. 

For those who may be wondering where this team was hiding all season long and why it waited until the postseason began to reveal it self, I would submit that they've shown us glimpses of this all along. There was the 25 point blowout of the Spurs at the Garden and the 39 point humiliation of the Nuggets in Denver. It was never about whether they could play like this, but rather whether they could sustain it.

So now that the Sixers have been vanquished, the Knicks will sit back and await the outcome of the series between the Detroit Pistons and the Cleveland Cavaliers. The earliest they will begin the conference finals is Sunday. Normally having that much time off is not a good thing, but in this case, the extra few days will allow Anunoby's hamstring to fully heal.

As for who they'll play, the last time I dipped my toe into that pond and expressed a preference, I ended up with egg on my face. This time around, I'll simply say that whoever New York plays will likely be a far tougher foe than Philly. But let's be honest, that's not exactly a high bar, is it?

As for my preview, I'll write that on Saturday. In the meantime, enjoy the week, people. I'm sure the Knicks will.

Knicks Dodge A Bullet

It was quite a night at "The World's Most Famous Arena." The New York Knicks, trailing 90-89 going into the fourth quarter, rallied to beat the Philadelphia 76ers 108-102. Jalen Brunson led the way with eight points - 26 in all - while Karl-Anthony Towns had 20 for the game, along with 10 rebounds, and finished just three assists shy of his third triple double of this postseason. 

But as good as Brunson and KAT were, it was the Knicks stifling defense that proved to be the difference. After giving up 90 points through three quarters, the orange and blue went into lock down mode in the fourth, holding the Sixers to 12 points on 4-19 shooting; 1-10 from three. It was the fifth straight playoff win for New York, one shy of the franchise record set in 1999. That team, if you recall, went to the finals.

The biggest story of the game, however, had nothing to do with the scoreboard. With approximately three minutes to go in the game, OG Anunoby appeared to injure his right hamstring after coming down awkwardly on a dunk attempt that was rejected by Paul George. Seconds later he was seen holding the back of his right leg and noticeably limping as he signaled to the bench to come out of the game. He would not return. 

For the remainder of the night and well into the following day, Knicks fans anxiously waited for word about the severity of OG's injury, and more importantly, how long he would be sidelined. Nothing was riding on it, of course, except the entire season and the fate of the free world.

Then at 1:44 P.M. yesterday, Shams Charania of ESPN reported that Anunoby had been diagnosed with a right hamstring strain and was listed as day to day. Millions of Knicks fans across the tri-state area breathe a sigh of relief. No tear; just a strain. The worst had been avoided. The Knicks dodged a bullet. 

It cannot be overstated just how invaluable Anunoby is to this team's playoff hopes. How invaluable? During the regular season, OG missed 15 games; during that stretch, the Knicks went 8-7. In the postseason, Anunoby is shooting a team-high 61.9 percent from the field; 53.8 percent from three. He leads the Knicks with a +6.2 offensive net impact; KAT is next at +2.0. Among players remaining in the playoffs, Anunoby is second behind between Chet Holmgren in total leverage, which tracks scoring, shot creation, shot-blocking, rebounding and defense. He's tied with Brunson with a league-best +118.

Last November, I wrote a piece in which I made the argument that Anunoby is the "most indispensable player" on the Knicks. I've seen nothing since then that has contradicted that argument. Put succinctly, this team has no chance of getting to the finals, much less winning a championship without him. Hearing he'll be back soon is like Christmas in July, or in this case May. 

As for when that is, I think we can rule out games three and four. Mike Brown would be nuts to risk further injury to his star forward. In fact, if the Knicks gain a split in Philly and go up 3-1, we might not see him for the remainder of the series. But if the Sixers should win both games, OG could return for game five.

As for the adjustments Brown will have to make to his lineup, he could turn to Landry Shamet and Deuce McBride to take some of Anunoby's minutes. Mohamed Diawara is also an option. Leon Rose assembled one of the deepest rosters in the NBA. Now it's time to find out just how good a job he did.

Yes, Virginia, there is a Santa Claus; and he wears a Knicks jersey. 

Knicks Send a Message

I've been watching the Knicks for more than 50 years and I've never seen anything like this. Neither has the NBA, apparently. Since losing game three to the Atlanta Hawks 109-108, this team has undergone a metamorphosis that would make David Banner proud. They beat the Hawks 114-98, 126-97 and 140-89 to advance to the second round. They then pummeled the Philadelphia 76ers 137-98 to take a 1-0 lead. Four games, four wins, three blowouts, with a total point differential of +135. 

New York shot 48, 57, 59 and 63 percent respectively from the field in those four games. This postseason, Karl-Anthony Towns has two triple doubles, two double doubles and is averaging six assists per game; Jalen Brunson is averaging 27.6 points and 5.7 assists per game; and O.G. Anunoby is averaging 7.9 rebounds and 21 points per game on 63.7 percent shooting; 59.4 percent from three.

But even more impressive than the offensive output has been the commitment to defense. During this four-game win streak, the Knicks have not allowed an opponent to score 100 points against them once. Since the playoffs began, they have the top five plus / minus players: Brunson (+111), Anunoby (+106), Josh Hart (+105), Towns (+103) and Miles McBride (+85); the top five net rating players: McBride (30.5), Towns (24.9), Hart (22.6), Brunson (22.3) and Anunoby (20.6); and the second-best team defensive rating at 103.6. Philadelphia, incidentally, is 14th at 117.4.

The Sixers and their fans can rationalize all they want about what happened Monday night at the Garden as simply being a hangover from their emotional win against the Celtics in game seven. And if that had been a one-off, I might tend to agree. Trouble is, it wasn't. The reality is game one of this series looked eerily similar to game six of the last series, and that isn't good news for the city of brotherly love.

The Knicks are sending a message loud and clear, not just to the Sixers, but to every so-called "expert" who doubted them. And that message is, "Dismiss us at your own peril." This team isn't just having an historic run; it's clearly the best team in the Eastern Conference. Hell, the way they're playing, they might even be the best team in the league.

Hyperbole? I think not. Compare what the Knicks have done in these playoffs with what other teams in their conference have done. The Detroit Pistons had to come from 3-1 down to beat the 8th seed Orlando Magic; the Celtics blew a 3-1 lead to the 7th seed Sixers; and the Cleveland Cavaliers needed a full seven games to dispose of the 5th seed Toronto Raptors. All three of those teams, at one point or another during the regular season, had better odds of coming out of the East than the Knicks.

I thought going in that Philly would pose a huge matchup problem for New York, and just to be clear, this series is far from over;  they still could pose a matchup problem. But if game one is any indication, it's the Knicks that are posing the matchup problem for the Sixers. Joel Embiid is, without question, an offensive force in the paint. In the first half he drew three fouls a piece on Towns and Mitchell Robinson; a problem that coach Mike Brown said his team would need to address going forward. 

On the other end of the court, however, Embiid is about as useless as tits on a bull, and the Knicks know it. Brunson and KAT exposed his lack of mobility several times with the pick and roll. Look for that to continue as the series progresses. The more the Knicks make Embiid work defensively, the less effective he will be offensively. Did you see him at the end of the Boston series? The man looked gassed. And that's exactly what New York wants: a gassed and ineffective Embiid in the closing minutes of each game. 

Then there's the bench. I'll say it again: New York has the deepest roster of any team in the Eastern Conference. Embiid and Tyrese Maxey are undoubtedly superstars and deserving of praise, but the reason the Knicks have gone through their opponents like shit through a goose this postseason is because they're not a one or a two-man show. KAT and Brunson may garner most of the headlines, but Brown is getting contributions from every player in his lineup. This is not meant as a slight on Tom Thibodeau, but no way this team would be playing as well as it is if he were still coaching them. That should painfully obvious to all but the most ardent Thibs apologists.

I predicted before this series began that it would go seven games, and, who knows, it very well might. But the way New York is playing right now, I wouldn't be surprised if it gets wrapped up in six or five. Not because the Sixers are a bad team, but because the Knicks are that much better. 

That being said, some adjustments will have to be made before game two tonight, notably how they guard Embiid. Clearly Towns and Robinson are not the answer. The Knicks cannot afford to have their two big men in foul trouble by halftime, especially since it's unlikely that we'll see another blowout like we saw in game one. If I were Brown, I'd put Anunoby on Embiid. Two years ago, both he and Precious Achiuwa did a pretty effective job on him. The best way to prevent Embiid from being a one-man wrecking crew is to keep him on the perimeter. Waiting until he gets to the top of the key with the ball is too late.

If the Knicks can "contain Embiid," as I wrote in my preview, and if they continue to defend the way they've been doing so far in these playoffs, they'll advance to their second consecutive conference finals. It's just a matter of when, not if.

P.S.: Less than an hour after this piece was published, ESPN's Shams Charania reported that Joel Embiid has been ruled out for game two tonight at the Garden. There is absolutely no excuse for the Knicks not going up 2-0 in the series.

Knicks Playoff Preview (Round Two)

Before I get to the Knicks, I wanted to talk a little bit about the Boston Celtics. For the second season in a row, the darlings of the East were eliminated in a series they were favored in. Last year it was the Knicks; this year it was the Philadelphia 76ers. This loss was particularly egregious because Boston had a 3-1 lead. But like last year, the over-reliance on the three pointer proved to be their Waterloo. Over the last three games of the series, the Celtics shot under 30 percent from downtown. I've said it before and I'll say it again: this is a flawed team that is given way too much credit for a playoff run they had two years ago when everything went their way. Unless changes are made to their offensive approach they will never get to another conference final, much less win another title.

Now onto the Knicks. To say I was rooting for Boston would be putting it mildly. Leon Rose built this roster specifically to beat the Celtics, and while I think it is certainly capable of beating the Sixers, it will be more difficult. 

The keys for the Knicks will be as follows:

1. Contain Embiid. There's nothing the Knicks can do to stop Tyrese Maxey; he's going to get his points. But Maxey alone won't be enough for the Sixers to advance. That's where Joel Embiid comes in. Two years ago, he basically played on one leg and still managed to average 33 points and 10.8 rebounds per game. The Knicks have to find a way to contain him or they will lose this series.

2. KAT and Brunson have to lead the way. In the last three games of the Atlanta series, this duo finally found their stride, and the results spoke for themselves. Karl-Anthony Towns had 26 assists and two triple doubles while Jalen Brunson averaged 25 points primarily playing off the ball. Both will have to continue to lead this team for New York to advance.

3. Brown has to utilize his bench. Philly has an imposing starting five, but their bench consists of Quentin Grimes and three guys named Moe, Larry and Curley. So thin is the Sixers bench that Nick Nurse was forced to play Maxey, Paul George and VJ Edgecombe each more than 40 minutes in game seven against the Celtics. Even Embiid played 39 minutes. There is no way they can sustain that kind of usage, especially Embiid who was limited to 38 games this season. Unlike his predecessor Tom Thibodeau, Mike Brown will likely go with a ten-man rotation, which means his starters will be have plenty left in the tank late in games. I expect Jose Alvarado, Deuce McBride, Jordan Clarkson, Landry Shamet and Mitchell Robinson will get significant playing time. The longer this series goes on, the more it favors the Knicks.

4. Don't throw away games. The Sixers are more than capable of winning games on their own merit. They don't need any help from a Knicks team that against the Hawks fell asleep in the fourth quarter of game two and got off to slow start in the first quarter of game three. Whatever switch this team flipped in game four needs to stay open. If they throw away any games in this series, they will be going home.

While the Knicks have the home-court advantage in this series, that might not mean as much as you think. That's because both teams closed out their respective series on the road and both are more than capable of winning in each other's buildings. Two years ago, the Knicks blew a chance to clinch at home and were forced to do so in Philly. Don't think for a minute if the shoe were on the other foot that the Sixers couldn't return the favor. This promises to be the most hotly contested series of the second round.

In the end, the Knicks bench will be the determining factor in this series. Rose has constructed a solid roster that is as deep as it is talented. New York in seven. 

And now for the other series.

Eastern Conference:

Detroit over Cleveland in six. The Pistons were pushed to a seventh game by the Magic, but while the Cavs can score, their reluctance to play defense will be their undoing in this series.

Western Conference: 

Oklahoma City over Los Angeles in five. The Lakers took advantage of a flawed Rockets team in round one. The Thunder have no flaws.

San Antonio over Minnesota in six. If Anthony Edwards were available I might take the T-Wolves. Unfortunately he's not.

If the Knicks advance, I'll preview the third round. If not, my pick to win it all is OKC. 

Enjoy the ride, people.

Knicks Take Care of Business in Atlanta

Early in the first quarter of game six, the Atlanta Hawks, who were facing elimination, led the New York Knicks 9-5. If you were anything like me you were probably muttering to yourself, "Great, I guess we're going to have a game seven at Madison Square Garden after all."

Fortunately for us Debbie Downers, the Knicks had other plans. They outscored the Hawks 35-6 the rest of the quarter and 43-21 in the second to take a commanding 83-36 lead into the locker room. It was the most dominant half of playoff basketball in the history of the NBA. 

And the Knicks didn't stop there. They kept their foot on the gas in the second half and increased their lead to 117-64 going into the fourth. When it was all over, the Knicks routed the Hawks 140-89. It was the third largest margin of victory in a close out game in the play-by-play era.

To be honest, I thought New York would win this series in six, but never in my wildest dreams did I think they'd put that kind of ass whoopin' on them. The Knicks outscored the Hawks 380-284 over the last three games. The last time the city of Atlanta was that badly destroyed, Sherman set it on fire. 

So how did the Knicks do it? How did they go from losing games two and three by a single point to completely dominating games four, five and six? And make no mistake about it, this was domination in the strictest sense of the word. The Knicks margin of victory over the Hawks in this series was 105 points. To put that into perspective, the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder's margin of victory over the Phoenix Suns was just 69 points. And the Thunder swept their series, mind you.

Defense was the key. In these playoffs, the Knicks have the second best defensive rating at 103.9. Only the Detroit Pistons, at 102.9, are better. This turnaround didn't begin once the postseason started; it began on January 21 with a 120-66 mauling of the Brooklyn Nets. Since then, New York's defensive rating has been the second best in the NBA.

But the biggest reason for the Knicks success lies with Mike Brown. After game three, he made the adjustments that finally unleashed this offense. Jalen Brunson got Karl-Anthony Towns involved and KAT, for his part, became the distributor in chief; a point center, if you will. Over the last three games, Towns had two triple doubles and 26 assists. Only Nicola Jokic averaged more assists, and his team was eliminated by the Minnesota Timberwolves.

I said this playoff series was a microcosm of the Knicks regular season, and it turned out to be that way. When their offense clicked, they looked like a team that couldn't be stopped; when it stalled, they looked like a team that couldn't get out of its own way. And therein lies the paradox, and the challenge. Whoever they play in the second round, they must remember what they did right in this series and carry it over into the next if they want to advance.

As for who they play, we'll know that soon enough. The Philadelphia 76ers forced a game seven against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden Saturday night. If the Sixers win, the Knicks will have home court; if the Celtics win, they'll open on the road.

If I were the Knicks, I'd much rather play Boston. With the Celtics you know what you're getting: a team that lives and dies with the three pointer. When they go in, they win; when they don't, they lose. In the three games the Celtics have won in this series they've shot over 35 percent from beyond the arc; in the three games they've lost, they shot under 30 percent from there.

Philadelphia, on the other hand, presents all kinds of matchup problems for New York, starting with their center Joel Embiid. The Sixers are 24-14 when Embiid plays; 21-23 when he doesn't. Two years ago when the Knicks beat the Sixers, Embiid, was injured and the Knicks still struggled to contain him. This postseason, he appears to be fully recovered after having surgery to remove his appendix. Playing alongside Tyrese Maxey, the most underrated guard in the league, Philly could definitely win.

The way I see it, Leon Rose built this roster specifically to beat the Celtics. With OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges on the wing, New York would have the advantage over Boston. Against Philly, it's anybody's guess who would prevail.

Typically, I don't like projecting ahead. After all, the Hawks thought the Knicks would be an easier team to beat and look what happened to them. All I'm saying is when you look at both teams objectively, the Sixers scare me; the Celtics not so much.

Knicks Need To Treat This Game As a Must Win

Generally speaking, I hate the term must win; it's the most overused and abused term in sports. For the record, the only "must wins" are elimination games, when losing means your season is over. I'm making an exception in this case. Game five against the Atlanta Hawks is a must win for the New York Knicks.

No, the Knicks season will not be over if they lose tonight at the Garden, and yes, they are more than capable of beating the Hawks in Atlanta in game six and closing them out in their building in game seven. But why on Earth would the Knicks want to subject themselves to that kind of pressure?

To be clear, the Knicks have been the better team in this series. They've played a total of two bad quarters - the 4th in game two and the 1st in game three. But that was enough to lose both games by one point a piece. In the two wins, New York has outscored Atlanta by a combined 27 points. You could make the argument that had they not taken their foot off the gas in game two and not gotten off to such a slow start in game three, the Knicks would now be awaiting the winner of the Celtics / Sixers series. 

Unfortunately that didn't happen, and here we are tied at two. In many respects, this series has been a microcosm of the Knicks season. One minute hot, the next cold. It's amazing to think that the same team that routed the Nuggets in Denver barely beat the Nets in Brooklyn. They have been the ultimate enigma for a fanbase that has often times been frustrated by the lack of consistency on the court. 

And that is why it is absolutely imperative that the Knicks not fall behind 3-2 going back to Atlanta. Even with all their talent and resolve, there is no guarantee that they would force a game seven. And should they lose this series, it will be a very long offseason for this team, I can assure you. Mike Brown will almost certainly be fired and Leon Rose would be forced to make some drastic changes to the roster. To put it another way, the Knicks aren't just fighting to beat the Hawks; they're fighting to stay together as a core.

So how do they accomplish both? By remembering what they did right in game four. I wrote at the start of the series that the Knicks had to get Karl-Anthony Towns involved. They did so in game one and most of game two. But then they forgot about their big man in the 4th quarter of game two and the Hawks mounted a comeback. The Knicks recovered from a slow start in game three to take a three-point lead but couldn't hold it because, once again, they didn't go to KAT when it counted. Jalen Brunson turned the ball over in the closing seconds and that was that.

In game four, however, the Knicks put on a clinic. It was one of their better games of the season. They started strong and they finished strong. Towns was, by far, the best player on the court, recording the fourth playoff triple double in franchise history. He had plenty of help. O.G. Anunoby had a game-high 22 points and 10 rebounds, while Brunson and Deuce McBride chipped in 19 and 11 points respectively. As a team, the Knicks had 23 assists, and led for 94 percent of the game. But perhaps the most important stat was that New York did not allow Atlanta a single fast-break point through three quarters. 

The Knicks need to bottle that performance and bring it with them to the Garden tonight. Every chance they get they need to put the ball in KAT's hands and let him do his thing. Because when they've done that, when they've let KAT be KAT, the Hawks have had no answer for him. None. I've heard of mismatches, but this one takes the cake. Mike Brown has to make it abundantly clear to his captain that in this series, he needs to defer to his center. It doesn't mean Brunson can't contribute; he did, after all, have 19 points in the last game. But the fact is the Knicks offense is more fluid and diverse when he plays off the ball, and conversely, it grows stagnant when he hogs the ball.

So, to sum up. The Knicks need to get off to a fast start, they need to get the ball to their big guy, and they need to keep their foot on the accelerator. If they do those things, they'll be one step closer to a rematch with the Celtics; if they don't, they'll be one step closer to the most disappointing playoff defeat since the last time they lost to the Hawks in 2021.

We all remember how that felt.

Harbaugh Aces His First Draft

"It's deja vu all over again."  - Yogi Berra

Four years ago, new GM Joe Schoen had two picks in the first round - the 5th and 7th - which he used to select Edge Kayvon Thibodeaux and offensive tackle Evan Neal. Thibodeaux was considered the second best defensive prospect in the Draft behind Aiden Hutchinson and Neal was considered the top-ranked tackle. After an impressive rookie campaign, Thibodeaux's performance has slipped considerably over the last three seasons, while Neal has turned out to be a bust.

Going into the 2026 NFL Draft, Schoen and new Head Coach John Harbaugh also had two picks in the first round - the 5th and 10th - which they used to select Edge Arvell Reese and offensive tackle Francis Mauigoa. Reese was considered the second best defensive prospect in the draft while Mauigoa was considered the top-ranked tackle. 

For a fanbase that's gotten used to having its heart broken, you could certainly understand the cynicism. But if we're being totally honest here, both picks made perfect sense. No way Harbaugh and Schoen could've anticipated Reese falling into their laps, and no way in hell they were going to look that gift horse in the mouth. Anybody who says the contrary doesn't know shit about football. Reese has the potential to be the next Micah Parsons, and, unless your name is Dave Gettleman, you don't let a Micah Parsons slip through your fingers.

Indeed, if fans had a bone to pick at all, it was with what happened five picks later. The general consensus Thursday night was that Caleb Downs would go quickly in the Draft. Yours truly had him going to the Jints at 5. So when he was still on the board at 10, everyone watching the event live just assumed that Harbaugh and Schoen would scoop him up. Imagine landing two of the top four defensive prospects in the same Draft; the other two being David Bailey - taken by the Jets at 2 - and Sonny Styles - taken by the Commanders at 7. The Giants were this close to being crowned "best team in the Draft" less than halfway through the first round.

But when Roger Goodell announced that they had selected Mauigoa with the 10th pick, a.chorus of "what the fucks?" could be heard from Parsippany to Canarsie. Frankly, my only qualm with the pick was that if the Giants were looking for someone to play right guard, why not take Vega Ioane, who's an actual guard and was rated number one at his position?

That being said, the pick makes total sense. As much as it would've been nice to have Downs patrolling center field for the Giants, the greater need was on the offensive line. Jaxson Dart is, without question, the most important player on this roster. Protecting him is essential to any long-term success this franchise plans on having. With the addition of Mauigoa, New York has its best O-line since the Tom Coughlin days. If I had to access day one, I would give the Giants an A.

Day two was almost as productive. Despite what Harbaugh said at his presser after the Draft, the Giants definitely had their sites set on defensive tackle Kayden McDonald at 37. But when the Texans leapfrogged them and snagged him, they didn't panic. They simply shifted gears and filled another position of need by selecting cornerback Colton Hood. Hood was viewed by many as a late first round prospect, so the Giants got a solid player at good value who has a chance of starting opposite Paulson Adebo on opening week. They then traded back into the third round and took wideout Malachi Fields at 74. Fields had a great Senior Day but bombed at the Combine, which led to his slipping in the Draft. The Giants believe they found a potential third target for Dart.

New York rounded out its draft by taking three depth pieces in the 6th round, one of which - linebacker Jack Kelly - could be a great addition to the special teams. Altogether, Harbaugh and Schoen were surgical with their picks, filling specific needs while not reaching; something several teams - i.e., the Rams - were guilty of doing this Draft. Overall, I'd give both men an A minus.

There's still more work that needs to be done. A successful draft was certainly an important step in the rebuilding process. But after trading Dexter Lawrence, Harbaugh has a gaping hole at nose tackle. 

Luckily he has time to fill it. 

Who Will Harbaugh Select in the Draft?

Going into the 2026 NFL Draft, the New York Giants have two first round picks: numbers five and ten; the latter coming from the Cincinnati Bengals in the Dexter Lawrence trade. Who will John Harbaugh select with those two picks? That depends on who gets chosen before those picks.

Since it's generally assumed the Las Vegas Raiders will take Fernando Mendoza first overall, the real fun begins when the New York Jets are on the clock at number two. Will they take David Bailey or Arvell Reese? Will the Arizona Cardinals take Jeremiyah Love with the third pick, or will they trade back as some are predicting? Will the Tennessee Titans take the edge rusher the Jets didn't take, or will they take Sonny Styles, or maybe even Love if he falls to them?

A lot of variables, to be sure. Now you know why every team has multiple players on their board. Because you can never predict what other teams will do. What we know from last season is that the Giants number one need going into this draft is defense, and if Harbaugh has a chance to improve it, he will certainly do so. At the same time, we can't rule out that if someone like Love falls into his lap he won't take him. We also can't rule out the possibility that Harbaugh might trade back to acquire more draft capital. Given that the Giants don't have a third-rounder, that could be what he does with pick 10.

When I look objectively at this draft, three players stand out to me: Sonny Styles, Caleb Downs and, if he falls, Arvell Reese. All three played at Ohio State and all three could easily anchor this defense. But I can also envision taking a chance on Jordyn Tyson with the 10th pick. The Giants also need help on the offensive and defensive lines. See what I mean about a lot of variables? 

I'm predicting two trades: the first is between the Giants and the Cowboys. Dallas sends the 20th pick to New York in exchange for Kayvon Thibodeaux. The second is between the Cardinals and the Dolphins. Arizona gets the 30th pick from Miami, which they will use to select Alabama QB Ty Simpson, in exchange for a second round pick. 

So, without further ado, here is my mock draft for the top 20 picks in the first round. I hope you enjoy reading it half as much as I enjoyed writing it.

1. Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana.

2. New York Jets: Arvell Reese, Edge, Ohio State. 

3. Arizona Cardinals: Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame. 

4. Tennessee Titans: David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech.

5. New York Giants: Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State. 

6. Cleveland Browns: Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State.

7. Washington Commanders: Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State. 

8. New Orleans Saints: Rueben Bain Jr., Edge, Miami. 

9. Kansas City Chiefs: Manor Delane, CB, LSU. 

10. New York Giants (via trade with Cincinnati): Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State. 

11. Miami Dolphins: Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami. 

12. Dallas Cowboys: Makai Lemon, WR, USC.  

13. Los Angeles Rams: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah. 

14. Baltimore Ravens: Olaivavega Ioane, G, Penn State. 

15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon. 

16. New York Jets, Omar Cooper, WR, Indiana. 

17. Detroit Lions: Kaydyn Proctor, OT, Alabama. 

18. Minnesota Vikings: Dillon Thieneman, S, Oregon.

19. Carolina Panthers: Keldric Faulk, Edge, Auburn. 

20. New York Giants (via trade with Dallas): Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State.

As with all my other predictions, please take them with a large grain of salt.

Have fun, people.

Worst Team $381 Million Can Buy

Twenty-three games into this season, the New York Mets are 7-16. They've lost 12 in a row, and currently own the worst record in baseball. Only the Philadelphia Phillies, at 8-15, are slightly better.

How bad are the Mets? During this losing streak, they are a minus 46 in run differential, the worst in the majors; they are last in team ERA (5.64); last in team batting average (.194) last in batting average with runners in scoring position (.161); last in runs scored (22); and tied for second fewest home runs (8). They've been shutout three times and held to two runs or fewer nine times. They aren't just bad, they're historically bad, and if they lose tonight, they will be tied for the third longest losing streak in franchise history with the 1962 team that lost 120 games. 

Let's take a look at the last 12 games. First the hitters:

Francisco Lindor: 2 HRs / 4 RBIs / .245 BA / .260 OBP / .648 OPS

Marcus Semien: 0 HRs / 2 RBIs / .220 BA / .273 OBP / .517 OPS

Bo Bichette: 1 HRs / 3 RBIs / .239 BA / .286 OBP / .612 OPS

Mark Vientos: 1 HRs / 2 RBIs / .094 BA / .118 OBP / .305 OPS

Brett Baty: 0 HRs / 2 RBIs / .161 BA / .182 OBP / .375 OPS

Luis Robert Jr: 1 HR / 1 RBI / .190 BA / .227 OBP / .537 OPS

Francisco Alvarez: 1 HR / 2 RBIs / .212 BA / .333 OBP / .636 OPS

Carson Benge: 0 HRs / 0 RBIs / .182 BA / .229 OBP / .441 OPS

Tyrone Taylor: 0 HRs / 2 RBIs / .235 BA / .278 OBP / .572 OPS 

Now the pitchers:

Sean Manaea: 11.0 IP / 0-0 / 5.73 ERA 

David Peterson: 13.2 IP / 0-2 / 5.93 ERA

Luis Garcia: 1.1 IP / 0-0 / 20.25 ERA

Luke Weaver: 3.2 IP / 0-0 / 14.73 ERA

Richard Lovelady: 2.1 IP / 0-0 / 0.00 ERA

Nolan McLean: 20.0 IP / 0-1 / 2.70 ERA

Clay Holmes: 10.1 IP / 0-2 / 2.61 ERA

Tobias Myers: 7.0 IP / 0-0 / 5.14 ERA

Huascar Brazoban: 5.0 IP / 0-0 / 0.00 ERA

Brooks Raley: 3.1 IP / 0-1 / 5.40 ERA

Koadai Senga: 5.2 IP / 0-2 / 20.65 ERA

Devin Williams: 1.1 IP / 0-1 / 47.25 ERA

The numbers speak for themselves. This isn't just a bad team, it's an historically bad team, and its principal architect, David Stearns, bears the brunt of the responsibility. He said after last season that run prevention would be his number one goal over the winter. Based on the results, this pitching staff is significantly worse than last year's. The worst offenders, by far, have been Weaver and Williams. The two were brought in by Stearns to give the Mets a formidable one-two punch at the back end of the bullpen. Instead, they've both been horrific during this losing streak.

As for run production, there isn't one hitter over the last 12 games that has distinguished himself. Lindor is having the worst year of his career; Bichette is batting 53 points below his career average; Semien is confirming what everyone suspected when he was acquired for Brandon Nimmo: that his best years are behind him; Baty looks completely overmatched at the plate; and let's face it, Benge belongs in Syracuse.

Meanwhile, the three players Stearns traded away or let walk, are all doing better than the players who replaced them:

Pete Alonso: 3 HRs / 10 RBIs / .213 BA / .327 OBP / .700 OPS

Jeff McNeil: 1 HR / 5 RBIs / .278 BA / .361 OBP / .750 OPS

Brandon Nimmo: 4 HRs / 11 RBIs / .295 BA / .368 OBP / .863 OPS

This is Stearns third season as President of Baseball Operations for the Mets. In that time, he has turned over almost one half of the roster, including some players who were very popular in the locker room as well as with the fanbase. It would be one thing if he had slashed payroll, as I thought he was going to do after last season. But the payroll has ostensibly stayed the same going into the 2026 season. This is mostly on him.

I say mostly because Carlos Mendoza is hardly guiltless. He's mismanaged the pithing staff and he's been way too patient with his players. There was simply no excuse for not benching Lindor, who literally went 17 games without a single RBI, made several mistakes in the infield and got picked off first base. I wrote in my season preview that if the Mets got off to a slow start he might not make it to the All-Star Break. The way this team is playing, he might not make it to May.

Chemistry isn't a word normally associated with baseball, but this team looks about as comfortable playing together as a crowded elevator in Manhattan. Something's gotta give or this season will be over before we get to summer, if it isn't already. The return of Juan Soto will provide a badly needed spark, but he can't do it all by himself. The other players need to pull their weight.

I can't believe Steve Cohen is going to let this nightmare continue much longer. He may be patient to a fault, but even he has his breaking point. He's the owner of team with a $381 million payroll. This can't be sitting well with him. 

Bottom line, there is simply no excuse for the level of play we've seen from this team. It's unbecoming of professionals making the kind of money they're making. It's time to shit or get off the pot.

64-2

For seven quarters, the New York Knicks had the Atlanta Hawks right where they wanted them. They had beaten them in game one of their best of seven series 113-102, and led them 91-79 going into the fourth quarter of game two. They were on the verge of going up 2-0. Outside the Garden, the fans were chanting "We want Boston," in anticipation of what looked like a four-game sweep. And then everything came crashing down. Atlanta outscored New York 28-15 over the final 12 minutes to eke out a narrow one-point win.

It was a devastating loss to a team many, myself included, thought would be a very tough opponent. Going into last night's game, the Knicks were 64-1 in the playoffs when taking a double-digit lead into the fourth quarter. Make that 64-2.

How could this have happen? How did a team as experienced as the Knicks unravel against a team that was making its first appearance in the postseason in seven years?

There was a lot of blame to go around, starting with:

1. Mike Brown: For 11 minutes, Brown inexplicably took his two best scorers - Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns - both out of the game, and went with a lineup that consisted primarily of Jose Alvarado, Jordan Clarkson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby and Mitchell Robinson. During that span, the Knicks were outscored by seven points. In another bizarre move, Brown elected to call a timeout with 2:43 left in the fourth quarter and New York in possession, leading 100-99. Brunson was driving to the basket when the whistle blew. That timeout would come back to haunt the Knicks as they were unable to stop the clock with 5.6 seconds left in the game, forcing Bridges to take a last second desperation shot that hit the rim and bounced away.

2. The Bench: Apart from Robinson (13 points and 7 rebounds) and Clarkson (7 and 5), the bench was MIA. Alvarado, Deuce McBride and Landry Shamet were a combined 0-7. McBride's performance was particularly disappointing, as the Knicks are counting on him to be the primary scorer off the bench. At least Alvarado was a plus 5; everyone else was a minus, including Robinson, who was a team-high minus 10.

3. Free Throws: After going 25-30 (83%) from the free throw line in game one, the Knicks went 17-27 (63%) in game two. Anunoby missed two critical free throws late in the fourth that could've given his team the win. The Knicks are not going to beat the Hawks missing that many free throws.

4. Jalen Brunson: I wrote before the series began that for the Knicks to advance Brunson could not be the only scorer on the team. And for the first three quarters of last night's game, the Captain was a ball distributer, assisting on seven baskets. But then in the fourth quarter, he became a ball hogger. Towns, who scored 14 points in the third quarter, took only two shots in the fourth. The Knicks offense stalled and had their worst output of the season.

The good news is that all four of these issues can and will be addressed going forward. Brown, hopefully, will not sit both Brunson and KAT at the same time, and will use his timeouts more judiciously; the bench, especially McBride, won't be so anemic; the Knicks will do much better from the free-throw line; and Brunson will get the ball to KAT instead of trying to win the game on his own. More good news: despite their fourth-quarter collapse last night, the Knicks are defending very well in this series. Their defensive rating of 108.7 is eighth among the 16 teams in the postseason. Atlanta, by comparison, is 10th. The Knicks did not lose because of their defense; they lost because of their offense, or lack thereof.

Which leads me to the bad news. Thanks to their malpractice, the Hawks now have the home-court advantage as they head back to Atlanta for the next two games, where they are 17-4 over the second half of the season. That means New York will have its work cut out for it trying to get a split. 

This is what happens when you don't take care of business; you give your opponent a lifeline. The Knicks could've had a stranglehold on this series; instead, they're in for the fight of their lives.

A fight they could well end up losing. 

Harbaugh Lays Down A Marker

Very early in my sales career, the manager of a store I was working at decided to hold a meeting. Sales were down, the salesmen were bitching about conditions, and he was going to nip it in the bud once and for all. He started off the meeting by pointing to the door and saying, "See that? That's the exit. We don't just put that there for the customers to use. If you're not happy here, let me know and I'll accommodate you. I've got five applications on my desk for every one of you." Suffice to say he got his point across. The bitching stopped and sales soon picked up. Mission accomplished.

I am quite certain that the last thing John Harbaugh wanted to do was trade one of his better players, even if that player did have an "off" year. In his mind, the Giants were better off with Dexter Lawrence on the roster than without him. But after Lawrence issued his trade demand and refused to negotiate on a new contract, Harbaugh's hands were tied.

He could've called Lawrence's bluff and forced him to report to camp or forfeit his salary. But as I wrote in a previous post, why would he want that kind of headache in his first year as head coach? In the end, Harbaugh had no choice but to show his disgruntled player the exit, as it were. And in so doing, he laid down a marker. Don't want to be here? No problem. 

What's remarkable about this situation isn't that the Giants moved on from Lawrence, it's what they got in return. Harbaugh had said he wanted no less than a top ten pick for him, and that's exactly what he got. The Cincinnati Bengals traded the 10th pick straight up for the defensive tackle. 

Already the Monday-morning quarterbacks are at it, arguing that the Giants should've gotten the same haul the Jets got for Quininen Williams: a first, a second and a player. But like I pointed in that same post, you can't compare a trade made at the deadline with a trade made less than a week before the Draft. The Jets had all the leverage in that deal; the Giants had practically none, especially given Lawrence's demands. Frankly, I was starting to doubt whether they could even get a first rounder for him.

But the Bengals needed to improve a defense that was third from the bottom in the NFL, and they figured - correctly - that the best defensive players were all going to be gone by the time they got to choose. So they made the deal.

There were no losers in this trade. Both sides won. The Bengals got the player they wanted and the Giants got the draft capital they needed. They also saved $13 million in cap space, which they can put towards another free agent, D.J. Reader perhaps.

The real question is what will Harbaugh do with the 10th pick? Will he keep it, or will he trade back, as Gary Myers suggested, to get even more draft capital? It all depends on what happens with picks 6 thru 9. Assuming Jeremiyah Love goes 4th to the Tennessee Titans, the Giants will have their choice of Sonny Styles or Caleb Downs at 5. Either would instantly be a stud. Let's say Harbaugh takes Styles. It's unlikely that Downs would still be available at 10. The same goes for Carnell Tate and Jordan Tyson, who many believe is the best wide receiver in the Draft.

The Giants could certainly use some help at offensive tackle, as well as cornerback. There are several players at those positions who would still be on board deep into the first round. Trading back six or seven spots could get them a badly needed third round pick. After pick 37, the Giants don't select again until 105. That's a long time to go between picks.

It's important to remember that for all the good vibes the Harbaugh signing engendered, the Giants went 4-13 last season; the year before that they went 3-14; and the year before that they went 6-11. This team isn't two or three players away from being a contender; it's eight or nine players away. It needs all the draft picks it can get. Indeed, I wouldn't rule out the Giants trading Kayvon Thibodeaux. If Harbaugh could get a second and fourth for him, imagine the holes he could fill with those picks.

That's the difference between John Harbaugh and Joe Schoen or Dave Gettleman. Harbaugh clearly knows the Giants aren't a playoff team, and he isn't willing to take short cuts to get there. He only wants players who want to be here. He has a vision and a mandate from ownership to see it through. And make no mistake about it, he is running the show. Schoen can hold all the press conferences he wants; on Draft Day, Harbaugh will have the final word. In fact, I wouldn't be at all surprised if Schoen is let go next week. Dawn Aponte, who was hired in February to be the team's Senior Vice President of Football Operations, is more than capable of filling his shoes.

 

For the first time in a long time, this franchise is in competent hands. 

Knicks Playoff Preview (Round One)

For the fourth season in a row, the New York Knicks are in the playoffs; and for the third season in a row, they've won at least 50 games. Without question, this is the best team since the one Pat Riley took to the finals in 1994.

And like that '94 team that didn't have to face Michael Jordan, this Knicks team was the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East going into the season. That's because both Tyrese Haliburton and Jayson Tatum suffered Achilles injuries and were presumed out for at least a year.

Well, a funny thing happened. While Haliburton never came back, Tatum did, making a Boston Celtics team that was already having a surprisingly good year without him an even more imposing threat. As if that wasn't bad enough, the Detroit Pistons, the team the Knicks beat in the first round last year, came out of nowhere to win 60 games. Oh, and I almost forget to mention that the Atlanta Hawks, who went 21-9 over the last 30 games, deliberately tanked their last game so they could fall to the 6th seed and play the Knicks in the first round.

So much for a glide path to the finals. If this Knicks team is going to win its first championship since 1973, it is going to have to do so while going through a gauntlet that would make walking through a mine field seem like a stroll through the park.

The good news is that they should have more in the tank than last year's team. Under Mike Brown, the starters averaged roughly three minutes less per game than they did under Tom Thibodeau. More good news: from January 21, only the Oklahoma City Thunder had a better defensive rating than New York: 109.1 to 109.4. For the season, the Knicks were a league-best +11.7 in the fourth quarter, the highest ever recorded in the modern play-by-play era. Over the last three postseasons, Jalen Brunson has more 40 point playoff games (8) than Nikola Jokic (6) or Anthony Edwards (5); and Karl-Anthony Towns had more double doubles this season (56) than Jokic (55).

Now the bad news? The Knicks two best scorers (Brunson and KAT) also happen to be their two worst defenders. And while this year's team is better than the one that went to Eastern Conference finals last year, it has also been plagued by inconsistencies. The same team that routed the Nuggets in Denver also barely survived the Nets in Brooklyn. I have written about this several times and it bears repeating: the Knicks are capable of going all the way to the finals; they're also capable of being ousted in the first round. And the most frustrating thing about them is that you don't know which team will show up Saturday night at the Garden.

Notwithstanding those concerns, what are the keys to the Knicks beating the Hawks? It comes down to three.

1. Get KAT involved early and often. As good as the Hawks were in the second half, they have no one who can guard Towns in the paint. The Knicks must get the ball to him, no excuses. He is capable of dominating this series. 20 plus points and 14-15 rebounds per game is a must for New York to advance. 

2. Control the boards. It's no secret that when the Knicks win it's usually because they out-rebound their opponents, particularly on the offensive glass, and this leads to second or third shot attempts. This is where Mitchell Robinson factors in. I expect Brown to play him and Towns together on the court, especially in the fourth quarter. If New York controls the boards, they will win this series.

3. Don't let Brunson shoulder all the load. While there's no doubt Brunson will be the best Knick in the series, he can't beat the Hawks all by himself. Other players, like Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby, Josh Hart and Deuce McBride will have to step up and contribute on the score sheet. The Knicks averaged 27.4 assists per game this season; to beat the Hawks, they are going to have to meet or exceed that average.

In case you haven't noticed, the Knicks have a history of drawing tough first-round opponents in the Leon Rose era: The Cavaliers in '23, the Sixers in '24 and the Pistons last year. The Hawks are no exception. Contrary to what many in the fanbase are saying, this will not be a quick series, or an easy one. They won't say it publicly, but to a man the Knicks would much rather have played the Toronto Raptors.

That being said, the Knicks, if they bring their A game, should dispense with Atlanta. If they don't, heads will roll. New York in six.

Here's how I see the rest of the first-round matchups going:

Eastern Conference: 

Detroit over Orlando in five. The Magic bludgeoned a flawed Hornets team in the Play-In just for the privilege of playing the Pistons.

Boston over Philadelphia in five. Even with a healthy Joel Embiid this would've been a heavy lift for the Sixers. Without him, it's impossible.

Cleveland over Toronto in five. The Raptors caught a break when the Hawks tanked in their last game. It won't make enough of a difference against the Cavs.

Western Conference:

OKC over Phoenix in five. The Thunder needed an easy first round opponent to defend their title. They got one in the Suns.

San Antonio over Portland in six. I'm probably giving the Trail Blazers more credit than they deserve, or maybe it's because this is the first postseason for the Spurs in seven years.

Denver over Minnesota in six. I know the Ant Man has historically done well against the Joker, but there's something about this Nuggets team that makes me think this could be their year. Plus, I have them in the finals against the Knicks.

Houston over Los Angeles in five. This would've been a great series if Luka and Austin Reaves had been healthy. Without them, the Lakers are toast.

As in past years, if the Knicks advance, I'll preview the second round. If they don't, my pick is the Nuggets to win it all.